Data analyst Vik Singh took a database of 11,886 MMA fight records and analysed them to determine any trends with winning and losing an MMA bout.
Why you may ask? Well to help make a guide for online betting. You can check out his Data blog here.
“Top UFC Insights
FIGHTERS OLDER THAN 32 YEARS OF AGE WILL MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 173 out of 277 (62%) fights*
FIGHTERS WITH MORE THAN 6 TKO VICTORIES FIGHTING OPPONENTS OLDER THAN 32 YEARS OF AGE WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 47 out of 60 (78%) fights*
FIGHTERS FROM JAPAN WILL MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 36 out of 51 (71%) fights*
FIGHTERS WHO HAVE LOST 2 OR MORE KOS WILL MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 54 out of 84 (64%) fights*
FIGHTERS WITH 3X OR MORE DECISION WINS AND ARE GREATER THAN 3% TALLER THAN THEIR OPPONENTS WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 32 out of 38 (84%) fights*
FIGHTERS WHO HAVE WON 3X OR MORE DECISIONS THAN THEIR OPPONENT WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 142 out of 235 (60%) fights*
FIGHTERS WITH NO WRESTLING BACKGROUND VS FIGHTERS WHO DO HAVE ONE MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 136 out of 212 (64%) fights*
FIGHTERS FIGHTING OPPONENTS WITH 3X OR LESS DECISION WINS AND ARE ON A 6 FIGHT (OR BETTER) WINNING STREAK MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 30 out of 39 (77%) fights*
FIGHTERS YOUNGER THAN THEIR OPPONENTS BY 3 OR MORE YEARS IN AGE WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 324 out of 556 (58%) fights*
FIGHTERS WHO HAVEN’T FOUGHT IN MORE THAN 210 DAYS WILL MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 162 out of 276 (59%) fights*
FIGHTERS TALLER THAN THEIR OPPONENTS BY 3% WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 159 out of 274 (58%) fights*
FIGHTERS WHO HAVE LOST LESS BY SUBMISSION THAN THEIR OPPONENTS WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 295 out of 522 (57%) fights*
FIGHTERS WHO HAVE LOST 6 OR MORE FIGHTS WILL MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 172 out of 291 (60%) fights*
FIGHTERS WHO HAVE 18 OR MORE WINS AND NEVER HAD A 2 FIGHT LOSING STREAK MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 79 out of 126 (63%) fights*
FIGHTERS WHO HAVE LOST BACK TO BACK FIGHTS WILL MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 514 out of 906 (57%) fights*
FIGHTERS WITH 0 TKO VICTORIES WILL MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 90 out of 164 (55%) fights
FIGHTERS FIGHTING OPPONENTS OUT OF GREG JACKSON’S CAMP WILL MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 38 out of 63 (60%) fights
Top Insights over All Fights
FIGHTERS WITH 15 OR MORE WINS THAT HAVE 50% LESS LOSSES THAN THEIR OPPONENTS WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 239 out of 307 (78%) fights*
FIGHTERS FIGHTING AMERICAN OPPONENTS WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 803 out of 1303 (62%) fights*
FIGHTERS WITH 2X MORE (OR BETTER) WINS THAN THEIR OPPONENTS AND THOSE OPPONENTS LOST THEIR LAST FIGHTS WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 709 out of 1049 (68%) fights*
FIGHTERS WHO’VE LOST THEIR LAST 4 FIGHTS IN A ROW WILL MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 345 out of 501 (68%) fights*
FIGHTERS CURRENTLY ON A 5 FIGHT (OR BETTER) WINNING STREAK WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 1797 out of 2960 (61%) fights*
FIGHTERS WITH 3X OR MORE WINS THAN THEIR OPPONENTS WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 2831 out of 4764 (59%) fights*
FIGHTERS WHO HAVE LOST 7 OR MORE TIMES WILL MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 2551 out of 4547 (56%) fights*
FIGHTERS WITH NO JIU JITSU IN THEIR BACKGROUND VERSUS FIGHTERS WHO DO HAVE IT MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 334 out of 568 (59%) fights*
FIGHTERS WHO HAVE LOST BY SUBMISSION 5 OR MORE TIMES WILL MORE LIKELY LOSE
This was validated in 1166 out of 1982 (59%) fights*
FIGHTERS IN THE MIDDLEWEIGHT DIVISION WHO FOUGHT THEIR LAST FIGHT MORE RECENTLY WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 272 out of 446 (61%) fights*
FIGHTERS IN THE LIGHTWEIGHT DIVISION FIGHTING 6 FOOT TALL FIGHTERS (OR HIGHER) WILL MORE LIKELY WIN
This was validated in 50 out of 83 (60%) fights”
Build Sustainable Strength—Without Wrecking Your Joints, Energy, or Jiu-Jitsu
Tired of waking up sore and burnt out after lifting? Sloth Strength is a proven blueprint for grapplers over 35 who want to get stronger—without the pain, burnout, or injuries.
Developed from 25 years on the mats, this no-burnout approach is made specifically for BJJ athletes in their 30s, 40s, and beyond.
